Flood science
across scales.

I study floods from streets to river basins, examining flood processes and impacts at local, regional, continental, and global scales.

Postdoctoral Researcher · Stanford Earth System Science

01 · About

Think globally; act locally: I build large-scale models that preserve local flood characteristics.

Portrait of Marcus N. Gomes Jr.

Marcus N. Gomes Jr., PhD Hydrologist

I am interested in floods and extreme events, especially how their physical drivers and impacts change across scales. My work began with urban floods and open-source numerical models in Brazil. It now connects high-resolution hydrologic and hydrodynamic simulation, Earth observation, field measurements, data assimilation, and machine learning across Brazil, India, California, and the continental United States.

02 · Academic path

From engineering and hydraulics in Brazil to water resources engineering and hydrology in the US.

  1. 2013–2017

    State University of Maringá

    B.Sc., Civil Engineering

    Teaching and undergraduate research on urban flood mitigation.

  2. 2018–2023

    University of São Paulo

    M.Sc. and Ph.D., Hydrology & Water Resources

    Open-source flood modeling, design rainfall, and nature-based drainage. Best 2023 engineering thesis at EESC-USP.

  3. 2020–Present

    University of Texas at San Antonio

    Ph.D. studies, Civil & Environmental Engineering

    Urban drainage, permeable pavement, field monitoring, and real-time control.

  4. 2024–2026

    University of Arizona

    Postdoctoral Research Associate

    Hillslope hydrology and data assimilation at the Landscape Evolution Observatory.

  5. 2026–Present

    Stanford University

    Postdoctoral Researcher

    Flood reconstruction across scales and the human consequences of exposure.

03 · Research program

How can large-scale flood models remain useful for local decisions?

Flood impacts are local, but national and global models cannot represent every street, channel, and drainage system. Coarser models smooth the terrain, hydraulic connectivity, storage, and infrastructure that control where water accumulates. Running meter-scale physically-based models across countries remains computationally prohibitive, and we still do not know which local characteristics coarse models must preserve. I work on this gap so large-scale regional or global models can support local decisions.

  1. 01Local controlsRainfall · snow · soil · drainage
  2. 02Scale transitionTerrain · storage · connectivity
  3. 03Observe + correctSatellites · gauges · cameras
  4. 04Local decisionsHazard · exposure · adaptation
A connected watershed from snowy mountain headwaters through neighborhoods, farmland, wetlands, a river floodplain, dense cities, bridges, drainage infrastructure, and a coastal outlet, monitored by satellites, towers, cameras, and gauges.

Question 01 / Reconstruction

Where, when, and how deeply did floodwater accumulate?

Build multi-decade flood reconstructions by assimilating satellites, gauges, cameras, low-cost sensors, and community observations into physical models.

Domains
California · United States · Brazil · India
Resolved variables
Flood hazard · velocity · infiltration · groundwater storage · evapotranspiration · reservoir dynamics · urban drainage dynamics

Question 02 / Scaling physics

How should flood physics be represented as scale changes?

Simplify rainfall, terrain, storage, infrastructure, and surface–subsurface exchange systematically, then measure what changes inside the flooded domain, not only at the outlet.

Reference
Fine-grid process simulations
Target
Meter-scale to kilometer-scale resolution

Question 03 / Adaptation

How do scaling errors change adaptation and prediction?

Compare distributed nature-based solutions with conventional infrastructure under changing rainfall, land use, and aging systems, including cost and transferred risk.

Evaluation
Hazard · vulnerability · exposure
Decision test
Performance · feasibility · equity

04 · Selected publications

Recent papers on the research topic

Peer-reviewed first-author publications spanning hillslope-scale processes, catchment-scale processes, and multi-hazard continental vulnerability and exposure.

Water Resources Research journal coverWater Resources Research

Research article · 2026

Identifying the State Dependence of Effective Material Properties

Simplified hillslope models can achieve greater accuracy by incorporating observations of groundwater depth and seepage (KGE from 0.85 to 0.96).

Water Resources Research

Journal of Hydrology coverJournal of Hydrology

Research article · 2025

Spatio-temporal Performance of 2D Local-inertial Models

A formulation preserved maximum flood extent twenty times faster, while arrival time and velocity still changed. These variables determine local warning and hazard.

Journal of Hydrology

Sustainable Cities and Society coverSustainable Cities and Society

Research article · 2026

Multi-Hazard Susceptibility and Socioeconomic Exposure in South America

An XGBoost framework compares floods, droughts, wildfires, and socioeconomic exposure consistently across the continent.

Sustainable Cities and Society

View all 36 journal articles

05 · Models and data products

Open-source tools and models

Scientific tools and models developed in a variety of fields related to water resources and Earth system science.

Core open-source model

HydroPol2D

A hydrologic–hydrodynamic model for surface–subsurface flow and pollutant transport and fate.

A distributed water-cycle model coupling rainfall, infiltration, groundwater dynamics, runoff, urban drainage, channels, reservoirs, pollutant transport, snow, land-surface energy balance, and surface flooding.

  • Surface and sub-surface hydrology
  • Landsurface energy balance
  • Spatially-distributed hydrodynamics
Stanford campus · 10 m coupled simulationFlood depth · velocity · depth–velocity index · water-surface elevation · infiltration · rainfall · groundwater depth · effective recharge

Explore all research software

06 · Current work

Latest research updates

View the complete archive

Preprint

Preprint available on arXiv: Time Distribution of Heavy Rainfall in Brazil

View preprint

Paper

A digital twin framework for real-time probabilistic forecasting of permeable pavement performance

Publication

Paper

Modeling and Design Optimization of Looped Water Distribution Networks using MS Excel: Developing the Open-Source X-WHAT Model

Publication

07 · Contact

Happy to discuss and collaborate!

Feel free to connect and shoot me an email.

Start a conversationGoogle ScholarGitHub